In 15 minutes we can get to know you – your situation, goals and needs – then connect you with an advisor committed to helping you pursue true wealth.
EWA, LLC dba Equilibrium Wealth Advisors, is an SEC-registered investment advisory firm providing investment advisory and financial planning services to clients.
Investments in securities and insurance products are not insured by any state or federal agency.
To view EWA’s public disclosure, registration, Form ADV and Part 2B’s, click here.
To view EWA’s Client Relationship Summary (CRS), click here.
In 15 minutes we can get to know you – your situation, goals and needs – then connect you with an advisor committed to helping you pursue true wealth.
Weekly Market Commentary | March 17, 2022
Investor optimism is quite low.
In just two weeks, the war in Ukraine has changed the status of 1.3 million people – approximately the number of people who live in Philadelphia or Phoenix – from citizen to refugee, reported Rachel Pannett and colleagues at The Washington Post.
Investors have been sharply focused on the shorter-term implications of the war, which include slower economic growth and rising inflation as commodity prices soar, supply chains falter and some goods become more scarce, reported Matt Peterson of Barron’s.
The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index and Dow Jones Industrial Average are both in correction territory, down roughly 10 percent from previous highs. The Nasdaq Composite is down 20 percent from its prior peak, putting it in bear market territory, reported Nicholas Jasinski of Barron’s.
“What we have seen so far is an indiscriminate sell-off, particularly of European equities but also globally…Extremely defensive sectors that were not affected by the crisis have been sold heavily,” commented a source cited by Francesca Friday and colleagues at Financial Times.
Last week, though, investors appeared to take a deep breath and begin to reassess.
Major indices in the United States and Europe fell early in the week before reversing course. By the end of the week, stock indices in London, Frankfort, Paris and Milan had regained lost ground. However, U.S. indices finished the week lower after inflation numbers for February were released and talks between Ukraine and Russia failed to produce results.
Inflation in the U.S. rose 0.5 percent in February, excluding energy and food. That was a slower increase than the U.S. saw in December or January. However, with food and energy, which have risen sharply due to the war, inflation was up 0.8 percent and that was higher than December and January numbers. Overall, excluding energy and food, consumer prices were up 6.4 percent over the last 12 months.
The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates this week as it tightens monetary policy to lower inflation.
During the last two years, the world has experienced enormous change. The COVID-19 pandemic led to rapid growth of e-commerce, a new work order (emphasizing work-from-home), innovation in cell and gene therapies (vaccines), and a rethinking of global supply chains. Some of these changes created opportunities for investors. Now, the war in Europe is layering on a new set of changes that have implications for defense, cybersecurity, energy and, possibly, other sectors of the market.
It can be difficult to remember during periods of upheaval but change often is accompanied by opportunity.
Sources:
https://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2021/12/07/russia-ukraine-biden-putin-call/ (or go to https://resources.carsongroup.com/hubfs/WMC-Source/2022/03-14-22_Washington%20Post_Russia%20is%20at%20War%20with%20Ukraine_2.pdf)
https://www.barrons.com/articles/vladimir-putin-russia-ukraine-war-51647050502?mod=hp_HERO (or go to https://resources.carsongroup.com/hubfs/WMC-Source/2022/03-14-22_Barrons_Putins%20War%20Will%20Change%20the%20World_3.pdf)
https://www.barrons.com/articles/volatility-stocks-to-buy-51647046100?mod=hp_LEAD_1 (or go to https://resources.carsongroup.com/hubfs/WMC-Source/2022/03-14-22_Barrons_Stocks%20are%20Full%20of%20Fear_4.pdf)
https://www.ft.com/content/489ccf83-6a26-4727-8a4b-47a24cbe7bcf (or go to https://resources.carsongroup.com/hubfs/WMC-Source/2022/03-14-22_Financial%20Times_US%20Stocks%20Suffer%20Worst%20Week%20Since%20January_5.pdf)
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u-s-stock-futures-drop-ahead-of-cpi-with-oil-prices-rising-no-progress-in-ukraine-russia talks-11646910858
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/11/federal-reserve-expected-to-raise-interest-rates-in-week-ahead.html
https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/women-are-still-not-having-it-all-according-to-the-economists-2022-glass-ceiling-index-301496800.html
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/glass-ceiling-index (or go to https://resources.carsongroup.com/hubfs/WMC-Source/2022/03-14-22_The%20Economist_The%20Economists%20Glass%20Ceiling%20Index_10.pdf)
ir.citi.com/gps/4tvkohSoc%2Bv614IZGyo19dc5yiov31GLehre8t4YkGPkZycemOaPeOM9l5RWRhQN5o5udyLrgyc%3D
https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/29255-be-fearful-when-others-are-greedy-and-greedy-when-others
Share This Commentary:
Get In Touch
In just 15 minutes we can get to know your situation, then connect you with an advisor committed to helping you pursue true wealth.
Subscribe
Add me to the weekly newsletter to say informed of current events that could impact my investment portfolio.
Important Disclosures:
Securities and advisory services offered through EWA LLC dba Equilibrium Wealth Advisors (a SEC Registered Investment Advisor).
* Government bonds and Treasury Bills are guaranteed by the U.S. government as to the timely payment of principal and interest and, if held to maturity, offer a fixed rate of return and fixed principal value. However, the value of fund shares is not guaranteed and will fluctuate.
* Corporate bonds are considered higher risk than government bonds but normally offer a higher yield and are subject to market, interest rate and credit risk as well as additional risks based on the quality of issuer coupon rate, price, yield, maturity, and redemption features.
* The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. You cannot invest directly in this index.
* All indexes referenced are unmanaged. The volatility of indexes could be materially different from that of a client’s portfolio. Unmanaged index returns do not reflect fees, expenses, or sales charges. Index performance is not indicative of the performance of any investment. You cannot invest directly in an index.
* The Dow Jones Global ex-U.S. Index covers approximately 95% of the market capitalization of the 45 developed and emerging countries included in the Index.
* The 10-year Treasury Note represents debt owed by the United States Treasury to the public. Since the U.S. Government is seen as a risk-free borrower, investors use the 10-year Treasury Note as a benchmark for the long-term bond market.
* Gold represents the afternoon gold price as reported by the London Bullion Market Association. The gold price is set twice daily by the London Gold Fixing Company at 10:30 and 15:00 and is expressed in U.S. dollars per fine troy ounce.
* The Bloomberg Commodity Index is designed to be a highly liquid and diversified benchmark for the commodity futures market. The Index is composed of futures contracts on 19 physical commodities and was launched on July 14, 1998.
* The DJ Equity All REIT Total Return Index measures the total return performance of the equity subcategory of the Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) industry as calculated by Dow Jones.
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), commonly known as “The Dow,” is an index representing 30 stock of companies maintained and reviewed by the editors of The Wall Street Journal.
* The NASDAQ Composite is an unmanaged index of securities traded on the NASDAQ system.
* International investing involves special risks such as currency fluctuation and political instability and may not be suitable for all investors. These risks are often heightened for investments in emerging markets.
* Yahoo! Finance is the source for any reference to the performance of an index between two specific periods.
* The risk of loss in trading commodities and futures can be substantial. You should therefore carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. The high degree of leverage is often obtainable in commodity trading and can work against you as well as for you. The use of leverage can lead to large losses as well as gains.
* Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice and are not intended as investment advice or to predict future performance.
* Economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and there can be no guarantee that strategies promoted will be successful.
* Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.
* The foregoing information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee it is accurate or complete.
* There is no guarantee a diversified portfolio will enhance overall returns or outperform a non-diversified portfolio. Diversification does not protect against market risk.
* Asset allocation does not ensure a profit or protect against a loss.
* Consult your financial professional before making any investment decision.