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WEEKLY MARKET COMMENTARY | SEPTEMBER 22, 2022
It’s open to interpretation.
Jackson Pollock was an action painter. He poured, dropped, and dripped paint onto horizontal canvases. Some people look at his work and wonder why it’s highly valued. Others find deep meaning in the paintings. For instance, Pollock’s Convergence is a collage of splattered colors that has been described as “the embodiment of free speech and freedom of expression…It was everything that America stood for all wrapped up in a messy, but deep package.”
Today, gauging the state of the American economy is akin to interpreting abstract art. Many economic indicators suggest the economy remains strong despite the Federal Reserve’s efforts to cool it off. For example:
While economic data are open to interpretation, one thing is for sure: many investors are not happy. Retail investors remained strongly bearish last week, according to the AAII Sentiment Survey, and institutional investors had little appetite for risk. Some investors are making losses permanent by moving from equities to cash. Some are holding investments as they wait for the turmoil to end, and others are waiting patiently for opportunities to arise in the midst of market volatility.
Major U.S. stock indices moved lower last week, and U.S. Treasury yields moved higher across the yield curve.
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Sources:
https://www.jackson-pollock.org/convergence.jsp
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm
https://www.ft.com/content/45ab5a45-6f32-49b3-be5d-9193071de970 ( https://resources.carsongroup.com/hubfs/WMC-Source/2022/09-19-22_Financial%20Times_The%20Fed%20Must%20Avoid%20Volckers%20Mistake%20on%20Inflation_3.pdf)
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/26/powell-warns-of-some-pain-ahead-as-fed-fights-to-lower-inflation.html
https://www.barrons.com/articles/august-jobs-report-today-51662072014 (or go to https://resources.carsongroup.com/hubfs/WMC-Source/2022/09-19-22_Barrons_Jobs%20Growth%20Slowed.%20Why%20That%20Could%20Be%20Good%20News_5.pdf)
https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/manufacturing-pmi-at-52-8-august-2022-manufacturing-ism-report-on-business-301615866.html
https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/services-pmi-at-56-9-august-2022-services-ism-report-on-business-301617838.html
https://www.cnn.com/2022/09/16/economy/umich-consumer-sentiment-september/index.html
https://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey
https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/1be12883a6a74557ab337415fbf46188
https://www.barrons.com/market-data?mod=BOL_TOPNAV (or go to https://resources.carsongroup.com/hubfs/WMC-Source/2022/09-19-22_Barrons_Overview%209.16_11.pdf)
https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value_month=202209
https://www.energy.gov/eere/articles/how-are-ocean-waves-converted-electricity
https://www.outsidelands.org/wave-tidal.php
https://www.outsidelands.org/wave-tidal3.php
https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/hydropower/wave-power.php
https://parade.com/1313865/kelseypelzer/ocean-quotes/
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Securities and advisory services offered through EWA LLC dba Equilibrium Wealth Advisors (a SEC Registered Investment Advisor).
* Government bonds and Treasury Bills are guaranteed by the U.S. government as to the timely payment of principal and interest and, if held to maturity, offer a fixed rate of return and fixed principal value. However, the value of fund shares is not guaranteed and will fluctuate.
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