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Weekly Market Commentary | May 26, 2022
On the fear and greed cycle.
One of the most challenging times for investors is a market downturn. Whether markets are experiencing a correction or a bear market, it’s really disturbing to watch the value of your savings and investments decline.
Last week, the CNN Business Fear & Greed Index showed extreme fear was the emotion driving investment decisions. The Index “is a way to gauge stock market movements and whether stocks are fairly priced. The theory is based on the logic that excessive fear tends to drive down share prices, and too much greed tends to have the opposite effect.”
During times like these, many investors succumb to fear and take actions that damage their ability to reach their financial goals. The fear and greed cycle works like this:
It’s counterintuitive, but many think the time when investors should be greedy is when the market nears a bottom.4 That’s when it may be possible to find shares with strong fundamentals that are selling at attractive prices. Since no one really knows when a turning point will occur, investors who decide to buy low may experience losses before they realize gains.
Last week, major U.S. stock indices moved lower.
If you’re feeling fearful, let us know. One of our most important roles is helping clients stay focused on financial goals, maintain a disciplined investment approach, and keep a long-term perspective in difficult markets.
Sources:
https://www.cnn.com/markets/fear-and-greed
https://www.c-span.org/video/?c4673464/user-clip-alan-greenspan-irrational-exuberance
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/01/030701.asp
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/07/ben_graham.asp
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u-s-stock-futures-climb-after-china-rate-cut-as-dow-headed-for-its-worst-losing-streak-in-history-11653036426
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/what-is-loss-aversion/
https://www.investopedia.com/a-history-of-bear-markets-4582652
https://www.bankrate.com/investing/what-is-a-bear-market/
https://www.bea.gov/news/2022/gross-domestic-product-first-quarter-2022-advance-estimate
https://www.philadelphiafed.org/surveys-and-data/real-time-data-research/spf-q2-2022
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2022/05/15/global-growth-is-slowing-but-not-stopping-yet
https://resources.carsongroup.com/hubfs/WMC-Source/2022/05-23-22_Global%20Growth%20is%20Slowing%20But%20Not%20Stopping_11.pdf)
https://www.goodreads.com/author/quotes/585.John_Steinbeck
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